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Deep South Texas is bracing as the remnants of Hurricane Polo collide with a slow-moving cold front and a wave of deep tropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico.
The unsettled weather system is expected to dump several inches of rain from the border to Austin and has already spawned several flash flood warnings and watches. So when can the Coastal Bend and Rio Grande Valley expect rain? MySA took a look.
The chances for significant rainfall Thursday morning are decreasing, with meteorologists predicting the best chances for rain “in the afternoon and overnight hours today (Thursday, October 1) and tonight,” according to a NWS forecast discussion.
The entire region is at moderate risk — a 3 out of a 4-point scale — of seeing more than 3 inches of rain by the end of Friday. Scattered thunderstorms could bring 60 mph wind gusts late Thursday afternoon, according to KIII 3NEWS Chief Meteorologist Carly Smith. The rain will continue into Friday morning.
The weather system could produce lines of storms that drop 1 to 3 inches of rain per hour, with stronger storms dumping as much as 5 inches of rain per hour along the western half of South Texas, according to the NWS.
Meanwhile, further south, the rains aren’t expected to arrive in the Valley until late Thursday afternoon into Thursday night. Meteorologists say the “primary threat” will be damaging wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph, along with slow-moving showers that could dump 1 to 2 inches of rain per hour. The heaviest rains are expected to strike along the border in Zapata and Starr counties, as well as the Northern Ranchlands, such as Jim Hogg County.
“Overall, expecting a range of 2-4 inches through the weekend, with the highest amounts west of US-281. However, isolated higher amounts of 5-7 inches cannot be ruled out,” the National Weather Service at Brownsville said in a weather advisory via email Thursday morning. For the latest forecasts, visit the National Weather Service at Brownsville.
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