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HARLINGEN, Texas (ValleyCentral) — As the Atlantic hurricane season approaches its climatological peak on Sept. 10, tropical activity is starting to increase across the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
Forecasters are closely monitoring two areas of interest: the remnants of former Tropical Storm Dolly near Puerto Rico and a developing area of low pressure in the northern Gulf near the Louisiana coast.
Despite the uptick in activity, neither system is expected to pose a threat to the Rio Grande Valley.
The Gulf disturbance has an opportunity to organize over the next several days and could develop into a tropical depression before moving inland somewhere between southeastern Texas and southwestern Louisiana.
Regardless of its eventual strength, forecast tracks keep the system well north of Deep South Texas.
Meanwhile, computer models show little indication that Dolly’s remnants will reorganize into a significant tropical cyclone this week, though its future evolution will continue to be monitored.
For the Valley, the presence of tropical systems away from South Texas will likely contribute to a stretch of hot and mostly sunny weather.
High pressure is expected to remain the dominant weather influence across the region, suppressing widespread rainfall and allowing temperatures to climb above seasonal averages through Wednesday.
Coastal residents and beachgoers may notice somewhat rougher surf conditions, but no significant impacts are anticipated locally.
Looking ahead, the weather pattern changes very little.
Temperatures are expected to remain slightly above normal through the end of the week, while moisture gradually increases enough to support a few isolated afternoon sea-breeze showers beginning Friday and continuing into the holiday weekend.
The Rio Grande Valley’s forecast remains quiet, with sunshine, warmth, and only limited rain chances while tropical activity stays safely removed from South Texas.
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