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We can finally talk about rain — isolated to widely scattered showers and storms are possible Friday across North and Northeast Texas. Don’t get your hopes up too far, but 20 to 30% is better than nothing. Meanwhile Texas drought conditions jumped 8% in a single week. It’s your Texas Weather Roundup for Thursday, August 20, 2026.
FRIDAY RAIN CHANCES
Isolated to maybe widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible Friday afternoon and evening across North Texas and Northeast Texas. This is not widespread rain and it’s not a cool front — it’s a 20 to 30% chance of a nearby shower or storm, which beats what most of the state gets over the next seven days.
Saturday, an isolated shower or storm remains possible across the eastern third of Texas. There’s a model idea of a storm cluster firing in Oklahoma and approaching the Red River Saturday evening, which could push some rain-cooled air into North and Northeast Texas. I wouldn’t bet on it.
TODAY
A couple of isolated storms are possible in the Panhandle. If they get going, watch for localized damaging winds and blowing dust — and lightning setting the grass on fire. The rest of us stay hot and dry.
WHERE THE HEAT DOME ACTUALLY IS
Even though it feels like it’s parked on top of us, the main upper-level heat dome is sitting off toward West Texas, New Mexico and Arizona. That gives the eastern half of Texas a weak northerly flow aloft, which is exactly why we can squeeze out a few storms Friday and Saturday — less sinking air overhead. With temperatures in the triple digits, that heat adds its own lifting mechanism, since warm air rises.
Next week is not looking pleasant. Hot, dry, and this string of triple digits continues largely unabated through the rest of August.
FIRE DANGER
Very High fire danger today across North Texas, Northeast Texas and East Texas. High fire danger across the Big Country, Northwest Texas, Central Texas, and south into South Texas, the Rio Grande Plains and the Rio Grande Valley.
Friday is the same story. Saturday brings High fire danger from South Texas all the way up to the Red River.
DROUGHT MONITOR
Texas drought conditions increased 8% in the last week alone, and it’s going to get worse. Extreme to exceptional drought continues across the Panhandle and Northwest Texas, and drought is now returning to other parts of the state. That map is going to look considerably worse next week, and we’ve seen it play out in the rapid uptick in wildfire activity over the past couple of weeks.
Five-day rain totals: a few lucky folks may pick up over a half inch with storms Friday, Friday night and Saturday. Most of us won’t see a thing.
TEMPERATURES
Triple digits this afternoon for most of Texas. If you’re not in the triple digits, you’re in the 90s and it’s more humid where you are, so it’ll feel like triple digits anyway.
Tonight, most of the state in the upper 70s to low 80s. Lucky folks around Dalhart, in the higher terrain of the northwestern Panhandle, and in the Davis Mountains around Alpine drop into the upper 60s.
Tomorrow, triple digits galore — and it doesn’t change into next week. DFW to Wichita Falls and Childress runs 107 to 110 every day for at least the next week.
Stay cool, stay hydrated, and don’t set stuff on fire. Let us know where you’re watching from in the comments.
CHAPTERS
0:00 Summer of He-Double-Hockey-Sticks
0:53 Rain Chances Friday & Saturday
1:51 Today’s Panhandle Storms
2:39 Where the Heat Dome Actually Sits
4:16 Fire Danger Eases to Very High
5:08 Drought Monitor: Up 8% in a Week
5:56 Temperatures: Triple Digits Galore
7:00 The Week Ahead
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