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HARLINGEN, Texas (ValleyCentral) — Another warm, humid day is scheduled for Friday with partly cloudy skies and modest southeast winds.
The last several days the Valley has seen afternoon, sea breeze thunderstorms roll in from the east. Now the mechanism driving rain chances will shift to out of the southwest.
The mechanical mix up will come from upper-level low pressure moving across northern Mexico toward Texas. This element will drive moisture, produce and improve conditions across deep south Texas Friday evening increasing the chance for rain and thunderstorms.
So far the most aggressive rain and thunderstorm potential looks to be west of Hidalgo County but the exact track of rain and storms may be influenced by any lingering sea breeze boundary pushing west possibly colliding with storms moving north out of Mexico.
The Storm Prediction Center is keeping the risk of severe weather out of the Valley forecast.
Recent rain over the last couple of weeks has quenched the Valley soil quite a bit.
The U.S. Drought Monitor map shows the RGV is no longer suffering from immediate, soil drought. Further monthly rain totals records show much of the Valley ahead for rainfall with exception of the Upper Valley, so Friday storms might welcome.
The forecast into next week shows high pressure regaining control of the forecast which will shut down daily showers.
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