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Texas will be dealing with another round of severe thunderstorms on Sunday as a cold front moves south across the state. The highest severe storm risk is expected from West-Central Texas into Central and North Texas, where storms may produce very large hail and damaging straight-line winds.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed parts of Central and North Texas in an Enhanced Risk — Level 3 out of 5 — for severe storms Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. That risk includes parts of the Big Country, Concho Valley, Hill Country, I-20 corridor, DFW Metroplex, Waco/Killeen area, and nearby communities.
Severe storms are possible Sunday afternoon through Sunday night across Texas, with the highest risk for very large hail and damaging winds across Central and North Texas.
This does not look like a major tornado setup for most of Texas. However, it does look like a setup that could produce destructive hail and localized damaging wind impacts.
Main severe weather threats
The primary concern will be large to very large hail, especially with any storms that develop early and remain more isolated. Hail larger than 2 inches in diameter will be possible in the strongest storms.
Damaging straight-line winds will also become an increasing concern as storms grow into clusters or a larger line. Some wind gusts could exceed 70 MPH, and localized higher gusts are possible if storms organize efficiently.
Heavy rain may also cause localized flooding, especially where storms train over the same locations. The tornado threat is low, but it is not zero — particularly near boundaries or with any storm that can stay more isolated for a time.
Estimated timing across Texas
Storm timing will still depend on how morning storms and outflow boundaries evolve, but the general window looks like this:
West-Central Texas, the Big Country, and Concho Valley: Sunday afternoon into evening.
North Texas, DFW, Waco, and Killeen: Sunday afternoon through evening.
Hill Country, Austin, and San Antonio: Mainly Sunday evening into Sunday night.
East Texas and Southeast Texas: Sunday evening into the overnight hours.
South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley: Late Sunday night into pre-dawn Monday, with a lower severe weather risk compared to areas farther north.
Storms may be severe outside the highest risk zone, so do not focus only on the color directly over your house. A small shift in the front, an old outflow boundary, or leftover clouds from earlier storms can change where the strongest storms develop.
What Texans should do before storms arrive
Move vehicles under cover if possible, especially across Central and North Texas where hail could be large enough to cause damage. Secure patio furniture, trash cans, trampolines, and other loose outdoor items before storms arrive.
Make sure phones are charged and that you have more than one way to receive weather warnings. Do not rely only on outdoor sirens. Have weather alerts enabled, and know where you would go if a warning is issued for your area.
Sunday evening travel could become hazardous in some areas due to damaging winds, hail, heavy rain, and frequent lightning. If you have Mother’s Day plans, keep an eye on the forecast and be ready to adjust outdoor activities.
We’ll keep tracking the timing, storm coverage, and highest-impact zones as newer data comes in.
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